03/06/2011

The Derby

Pretty upset Wonder of Wonders didn't win today. I felt I got the race just about right but couldn't account for the winner, who seemed to have little to recommend her. Never mind.

Anyway, onto the Derby. I've collected on the race already with Frankel not being declared and I feel the race has an open shape to it with the favourite being a very false price due to his connections. I also can't have Recital. He's second in the market at present but he's very inexperienced and looked a bit of a dodgy character in his last race. Not an ideal type for Epsom. So, I've added Native Khan to my ante-post bets on Pour Moi and Seville. I've already noted my reasons for backing those two but the Guineas third has a lot going for him as well. The Newmarket form was franked with Dubawi Gold only failing to win the Irish equivalent through bad jockeyship. He's bred to stay 12f and wasn't far behind Seville in the RP Trophy last Autumn. With the front two trading at such poor odds it's only natural that others further down the list will be more attractively priced and for that reason I have no problem going into the race with three arrows so to speak.

Frankel Laid @ 42/10 for £65 (NR)
Seville £40w @ 95/10 (lost)
Pour Moi £40w @ 57/10 (won)
Native Khan £40w @ 12/1 (lost)




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