As we approach the end of the Jump season thoughts turn towards the flat and I have a couple of ante-post bets in the book already.
2000
Here i'm very keen to take on the hot favourite St Nicholas Abbey. As a potential star over middle distances I feel he's gonna really struggle to beat specialist milers on fast ground. Yes he was very impressive winning the RP Trophy at Doncaster last Autumn, but that was on softer ground than he'll encounter in this race and the horses he beat that day were either middle distance types or just outclassed. Of his opponents there are a couple i'm not keen on based on them being trained by men i'm not keen on backing (Arcano and Canford Cliffs) and a couple who's odds are really short based on form (Inler and the Stoute animal with one run to his name). So that leaves Middle Park winner Awzaan who is trained by the excellent Mark Johnston. Middle Park winners have a poor record in the Guineas but this horse is bred to relish a mile and at 10/1 I make him a decent bet.
Awzaan £25w @ 10/1
1000
Special Duty ticks all the right boxes for this race and I backed her at 5s in November. She was beaten in her trial the other day and is actually a bigger price now than she was then but I remain confident. Her trainer's last winner of the 1000, Hatoof, was also beaten in her first outing of her 3yo campaign
Special Duty £40w @ 5/1
No comments:
Post a Comment