30/06/2015

Ante-Post

    For the first time this season I've been lucking at the market for Arc in October and I like what I see. Jack Hobbs was impressive at the Curragh on Sunday and his excellent trainer said he'll be put away for the summer now and brought back for a Niel/Arc campaign. Contrast this with his Derby conqueror who runs on Saturday in the Eclipse and then probably in the bigger summer 10f contests at York and Leopardstown - hardly ideal preps for the Arc, for which he is half the odds of his stable companion. I took some 10/1 about Jack Hobbs on Sunday.

    I look at the ante-post markets everyday trying to sniff out some angle and I think I've found one in the Coral Charge, a Group 3 over 5f at Sandown this Saturday. Mecca's Angel heads the market, justifiably so, but he was pulled out of the King's Stand a couple of weeks back because of the ground and with the current heatwave there must be an excellent chance he won't take part at the weekend, particularly as it isn't a Group 1. Medicean Man is next in the betting and he ran an excellent race in the King's Stand but subtract his Ascot form from his CV and he looks nothing out of the ordinary and is safely ignored. The rest of the field seems to consist of veterans and handicappers so I have backed the Gosden 3yo Waady at 6/1. I think this horse will start favourite on the day, he's won over course and distance three times and his form this season is very solid. Looking back at his race videos for the year I was actually impressed with his only defeat when he finished behind Adaay at Newbury. He was switched that day and was slightly unfortunate to be away from the action before running on towards the end of the race (he also looked a bit green that day.) He showed speed and a turn of foot last time out and looking at the contenders for the race overall his price sticks out like a sore thumb to me.

    Finally, RIP to Kauto Star. I was always more of a Denman man but I was lucky enough to see Kauto in action three times - His Betfair Chase wins in 2007 and 2009 (when he short-headed Imperial Commander, an absolute stormer of a race.) I was also at Cheltenham when he came down in his one try at the Queen Mother in 2006. He's the best chaser I've seen, a true great. Run free big fella.

Coral Charge:
Waady £25w @ 6/1

John Smith's Cup:
Mount Logan £15w @ 16/1

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe:
Jack Hobbs £15w @ 10/1

--
Champion Hurdle:
Peace and Co £10w @ 12/1

27/06/2015

Saint-cloud - 28th June

 

                                                                     Youmzain - 2008


 Tomorrow's big race at Saint-cloud is a fairly easy race to analyse, Treve should win and Dolniya and Flintshire are her dangers. However, the prices look wrong to me and Fabre's horse is a good each way poke at 7/1. He's a big horse being trained for a mid summer/Autumn campaign and possibly needed the run last time out at Epsom, and even if he didn't he ran really well considering a small field/sedate pace kind of affair is completely against him. There's a lot more pace in tomorrow's race and whilst I think Treve will win 7/1 is just too big about the selection.

Grand Prix De Saint Cloud:
Flintshire £25ew @ 7/1 (2nd)

(-1047.25)

Newcastle & Doncaster - 27th June

    I've already posted my bet on the Northumberland Plate. Up until decs time on Thursday I was very keen on Oasis Fantasy but he has been drawn widest of all in stall 21 and so my usual topping up has been limited to a place bet. The odd horse has won this race from a poor berth but they have been front runners who have been hustled into a good early possie in the race. It's possible Ed Dunlop might have it in mind to try the same tactics (he was prominent at Goodwood a couple of starts back) but he was also badly drawn last time out in a big field event at Epsom where he was held up. Hughes was riding and did nothing wrong but he was bumped and checked as he passed horses up the straight, finishing a close third. I have taken 3/1 on the machine about him placing.

    My other bet today is Rio Ronaldo in the last at Doncaster. This horse was the first to enter my tracker this season when he won a Windsor handicap very cosily in April and although he was disappointing last time out at Leicester he was drawn 9/11 that day near the stands rail and was given a strange ride, being switched to race on the far side for no apparent reason and I feel he will be tough to beat in a weaker race this evening given a more sensible ride. I took some 11/4 late yesterday afternoon and he's been well backed since, he's currently 2/1 - a price I've topped up on.

Northumberland Plate:
Oasis Fantasy £35w/£20pl @ 11/1 and 3/1 (lost)

Clair Welch Handicap:
Rio Ronaldo £42w @ 235/100 (lost)

(1057.25)


24/06/2015

Northumberland Plate

    Close but no cigar today with Saigon City who started at 5/1 (backed at 14s.) I've been beating the book on a regular basis this season and I feel things will turn around soon.

    Oasis Fantasy has been in my tracker since his excellent run in a Goodwood handicap over 14f in May. That was his first try over more than a mile and a half and he seemed to relish the step up in trip, staying on really well and only just failing to beat the winner (who had first run on him.) I held off backing him in his next race at Epsom on Derby day because he was back down to 12f again but he ran another excellent race. Poorly drawn he found oodles of trouble in running before gunning down the field in the last furlong, only just failing to get up. I do worry slightly that the two miles on Saturday will stretch his stamina too much but then again Goodwood's mile and three quarters is a tough get with it's uphill gradients. I'm happy to take some 10/1 now and will probably have a tickle each way on the day, hopefully for five places.

Northumberland Plate:
Oasis Fantasy £35w @ 10/1

23/06/2015

Salisbury - 24th June

    I'm hoping to get back in the winners enclosure with tracker horse Saigon City running in the 4.55 at Salisbury tomorrow. He went into my note book with his second place in a mile handicap on Sagaro day at Ascot where he veered across the track. He's a bit of a tricky customer and has the blinds fitted tomorrow but his rather disappointing run at Newmarket a few weeks ago is more easily explained by the step down in trip rather than any sort of lack of genuineness on his part. He was outpaced at headquarters before staying on at the death and this step back to a mile will really suit. I snapped up the 14/1 available immediately the market opened and he's still very backable at 11s. The favourite is a Qatar Racing 4yo who is unbeaten through three starts and whilst there's no doubt he's a promising horse that last win was on the sand and he's very short at under 2/1. Those odds means this is a terrific each way race.

Molston Coors Handicap:
Saigon City £35ew @ 14/1 (2nd)

(-960.25)

22/06/2015

Ascot Aftermath - Ante-Post

    I don't think I can remember a more painful meeting than last week's Royal Ascot. I thought my bets were decent on the whole but nothing went my way. Before the start of it all I posted my final thoughts and of the six ante-post bets I placed only Night of Thunder ran poorly. Indeed two of my main bets, Lucida in the Coronation and The Grey Gatsby in the Prince of Wales's, were the best horses in their respective races but were undone by an unfortunate draw and a bit of an unfortunate ride respectively. I just have to draw a line under the whole affair and keep plugging on. I found a couple of animals for the tracker at least.

    One of those horses, Mount Logan, ran a storming race over a trip too short in the Wolferton and I've backed him at 16s for the John Smith's at York in a fortnight. Ideally this horse needs 12f but York's long straight and extended 10f will be fine and he has massive claims of reversing form with the winner of Saturday's race given how much ground he made up on him in the last half furlong. It can't be underestimated how much more the longer straight at the Knavesmire will suit him.

John Smith's Cup:
Mount Logan £15w @ 16/1

---
Champion Hurdle:
Peace and Co £10w @ 12/1

19/06/2015

Royal Ascot - Day 5

    I backed Telescope in the Hardwicke Stakes last season, and managed to get on at 5/2 (returned 7/4.) This year's renewal is far hotter and yet Telescope is shorter - he must be taken on. Like Stoute's horse Postponed was an impressive winner of the Voltigeur as a 3yo and tomorrow's race is only second try at 12f. I expect similar improvement from his last race at the Curragh that we got from The Grey Gatsby on Wednesday. I'm worried about the forecast rain due at Ascot in the morning and have my fingers crossed the racecourse will miss most of it, but things have not gone my way one bit this week so we'll have to see.

    The Golden Jubilee looks a race with a nice betting shape. I want to be against the Aussie horse just because of the travel and also Mustajeeb as he won an egg and spoon race last time out. My pick is Due Diligence who ran well in the race last season when he covered more ground than most in drifting across the track. He clearly wasn't ready first time out but his trainer doesn't bring animals over to this meeting who aren't fit enough and ultimately sans a Slade Power 6/1ish is very fair. I've had some on each way as a couple of layers are paying four places.

Hardwicke Stakes:
Postponed £50w @ 7/2 (3rd)

Diamond Jubilee:
Due Diligence £20w @ 68/10 and £15ew @ 11/2 (lost)

(-1023.25)

18/06/2015

Royal Ascot - Day 4

    I think tomorrow's card is absolutely fascinating, particularly the two Group 1's. Ryan Moore has dominated the week to such an extent that his two mounts in the Commonwealth Cup and Coronation Stakes, Hootenanny and Found, are both noticeably shorter than they were earlier in the week and I'm taking both on.

    In the first running of the Commonwealth Cup I was already on Limato ante-post at just over 7/2 and have topped up gladly at a huge looking 11/2 earlier this evening. A high class 2yo he ran well over course and distance first time out before running below form on ground not as fast as he likes at Haydock. It's a competitive looking race but he's over priced and his trainer's rather negative comments are as much of a factor as the flood of money coming for anything Moore rides. I never really take much notice of negative comments about a horse from certain trainers - I think Mr Candy just wants to alleviate some of the hype that has surrounded the horse over the spring/early summer. Hootenanny's cramped odds certainly make the market juicy and I've part covered on Anthem Alexander. She won at the meeting last year, goes on the ground, and ran well enough first time out.

    Found is even more of a ripe target in the Coronation Stakes. Her run last time out in the Irish Guineas has been overrated and both Lucida and Ervedya have better form. I backed the former at Newmarket where she covered way more ground than was necessary and am fully involved again at 7/2. I fear the French filly greatly and have covered on her. I've had a terrible week but feel very positive about day four - a winner is just round the corner.

Commonwealth Cup:
Limato £50w @ 51/10 (2nd)

Coronation Stakes:
Lucida £40w @ 7/2 (3rd)
Ervedya £25w @ 9/2 (won)

Anthem Alexander (3rd) Ervedya £10ew dbl @ 7/1 and 4/1

(-923.25)







17/06/2015

Royal Ascot - Day 3

    I don't want to write about today's racing -  still feel like I've been punched in the stomach. When you back a horse at 8s and 13/2, he starts at 9/2, he's the best horse in the race - and he gets short headed. I can't adequately put into words how numbing that is. I do believe Ryan Moore would have won on The Grey Gatsby today. The gushing praise he gets when riding a winner makes me want to vomit.

    Anyway, enough of the bitterness. Gold Cup day is tomorrow and we have a favourite in the big race who has no form on decent ground, we have a couple of Ballydoyle horses half the prices they should be. In short it's a race to get stuck into and Mizzou stands out like a sore thumb. He's bred to stay, loves fast ground, has excellent form on the course that has been franked and his price is right in my wheelhouse. It's an obvious bet.

    Putting Green runs in the King George V Handicap that closes the card. He's a tracker horse I backed last time out when he was given too much to do by Hughes who prefers a stablemate in the race (we saw with Moore choosing Cannock Chase over The Grey Gatsby what judges most of them are) and that part explains his juicy 25/1 odds. It's a tough race but he looks a horse who needs a trip and the Queen's horse that beat him the time before Goodwood at Sandown (had run of the race) is nearly half his price despite being a pound or two worse off. Putting Green is way over priced. End of.

Gold Cup:
Mizzou £25w @ 11/2 and £25w @ 5/1 (lost)

King George V Handicap:
Putting Green £20ew @ 25/1 (lost)

(-985.75)
    

16/06/2015

Royal Ascot - Day 2



         
                                                                         Vision d'Etat - 2009


    I'm finding it really difficult to be positive as we head into day two of the royal meeting. Today's bets all went down and I was very disappointed in the runs of Night of Thunder and Make Believe in particular. Both ran well below form and that's the sort of thing that completely decimates confidence, it's not the sort of thing you want to see become a common occurence, but it is the sort of thing that can be a theme when one is on a losing streak. This is somewhat worrying during a big meeting.

    I backed The Grey Gatsby for the Prince of Wales's Stakes a week or so ago at a decent looking 8/1. He was very colty in the paddock last time out at the Curragh and I'm basically hoping he can return to the sort of form he showed last year. This race has a history of falling to 12f animals and I think he needs a stiff 10f or further these days. He stayed on really well behind Australia in the International over an extended 10f at York last August and I feel a reproduction of that form will see him go really close. I like the application of first time cheek pieces but I'm not overjoyed with Moore deserting him for Cannock Chase - not so much because I really respect his judgement - I don't, but because Spencer is on instead and I can't remember the last time he was on one of my winners. I've topped up at 13/2 with the money back concession Hills run for Channel 4 races.

    My only other bet is American Hope in the Hunt Cup. I detailed my thoughts on this wager at the weekend so see no need to repeat myself now. Let's hope for a better day.

Prince of Wales's Stakes:
The Grey Gatsby £15w @ 8/1 and £25w @ 13/2 mbs (2nd)

Royal Hunt Cup:
American Hope £20ew @ 25/1 (lost)

(-895.75)









15/06/2015

Royal Ascot - Day 1 oh, and Beverley

    Right, big day coming up tomorrow. I have four wagers to detail.

    The Royal meeting kicks off with the Queen Anne and Night of Thunder is my selection in this. I have my doubts about Solow and Able Friend at the head of the market and Hannon's Guineas winner seems an obvious alternative given his liking for a straight track and fast ground. And that's before you consider the enticing money back offer from Powers. I think Solow is a worthy favourite, but 6/4 is way off the beam and he must be taken on at those odds. I'm not interested in his impressive Meydan win, time and again form from that meeting does not translate to European tracks and with Cirrus Des Aigles losing half a shoe in the D'Ispahan last time out he really hasn't beaten enough to justify his cramped odds. Able Friend looks a bit of a monster judging by the videos I've seen of him at Sha Tin but again, at his odds I have to question what he's beating over there and whether or not he'll appreciate a stiff mile like Ascot's. Night of Thunder is hardly the best Guineas winner we've had recently but conditions will suit and he's worth a go at the odds.

    I've already gone over my thinking on backing Muthmir for the King's Stand in one of my ante-post entries. Like Night of Thunder conditions will suit and his fearsome turn of foot and relative youth may see him best Sole Power - who is nevertheless respected as a two time winner of the race. I have topped up the 8/1 I got a few weeks ago.

    The St James's Palace Stakes does look at the mercy of Gleneagles but I do think Make Believe is slightly overpriced at 7/2 and in a race that looks to me like a two horse affair I've taken advantage of another money back concession (free bet if your selection is second) and also think Fabre's Poulains winner is a good back to lay prospect. There is every chance he will set the race up nicely for the favourite but I have to think he will trade much shorter in running than his current 7/2 and so I'm doing some wheeler dealing with this one.

    Finally, I have a tracker horse running at Beverley tomorrow evening. He's a three year old called Dark Red and he runs in the 7.15. Unraced as a 2yo this Ed Dunlop trained beast has had five runs thus far this season without getting his head in front but he went into my tracker last time out when in his first attempt over further than a mile at Goodwood he was poorly away at the start, losing three or four lengths, before flying home with a wet sail to finish a good four lengths third. Tomorrow's race is on a course he's run well on before and I feel the trip of eight and a half furlongs will suit. Mark Johnston has a hot pot at the top of market, a horse who won a handicap at Leicester just two days ago, so he hasn't been re-assessed yet and so only carries a 6lb penalty for a six length win. However that win on Sunday was over 7f and his other efforts over 8f+ hardly justify his cramped odds here. Ed Dunlop is a shrewd trainer and has had Dark Red entered up in loads of maidens the last week or so without declaring him and I think he doesn't want to spoil his good handicap mark. 100/30 is the price, but it's a six runner event so I didn't expect any bigger.

Queen Anne Stakes:
Night of Thunder £20w @ 66/10 and £50w @ 6/1 (lost)

King's Stand Stakes:
Muthmir £50w @ 625/100 (3rd)

St James's Palace Stakes:
Make Believe £75w @ 7/2 (lost)

Beverley Folk Festival Here This Weekend Handicap:
Dark Red £40w @ 100/30 (lost)

(-815.75)


No picture today. Two reasons - one is that I have never actually backed the winner of the King's Stand or Queen Anne (nice confidence booster.) Two, I can't find a picture of Grand Lodge or Marju from their SJP wins :(







12/06/2015

Royal Ascot Thoughts

    Bit of a disappointing result this evening with Putting Green finishing a close third, flying at the death again. I think a combination of a stiffer 10f and a different jockey will soon see him in the winners enclosure.

    I think next week's Royal Ascot meeting looks possibly the best I can remember, undoubtedly aided by a strong overseas contingent. I've already mentioned a few of the bets I have and a couple have been added since.

    In the Hunt Cup I've gone to the well with American Hope again. I backed him last time out in the Victoria Cup over 7f but the tactics employed that day were terrible. Connections basically asked a hold-up horse to set a strong pace over a trip possibly short of his best - the results predictably disastrous. I would expect him to be held up on Wednesday and at 25/1 he's worth another chance. Another horse I backed the last time it run is Lucida when she was an unlucky second in the 1000 Guineas. I say unlucky because despite being drawn on the inside near the stands rail she actually ended up on the outside of the whole field, covering more ground than any other filly. The Ballydoyle hype machine ensures she isn't the favourite she should be in the Coronation Stakes on Friday and 7/4 Found 7/2 Lucida is the wrong way around simple as that.

    I've topped up my bet on Night of Thunder in the Queen Anne by taking advantage of Paddy Power's money back offer. Money back as a free bet if your selection is second or third, a very today concession.

Queen Anne Stakes:
Night of Thunder £20w @ 66/10 and £50w @ 6/1 mbs

King's Stand Stakes:
Muthmir £15w @ 8/1

Prince of Wales's Stakes:
The Grey Gatsby £15w @ 8/1

Royal Hunt Cup:
American Hope £15ew @ 25/1 NRNB

Commonwealth Cup:
Limato £15w @ 37/10

Coronation Stakes:
Lucida £40w @ 7/2





11/06/2015

Goodwood - 12th June

    A good start to this hectic period of the betting year on Wednesday with Express Himself narrowly scoring at Haydock. I was really pleased with this win, not so much the financial reward (it was a small bet) but with the way he won. He lost four or five lengths as they came out of the stalls and winning after such a tardy start just showed how well handicapped he was.

    I'm very keen on Putting Green in the 7.00 at Goodwood tomorrow. This horse was fifth in the now famous handicap at Sandown that Jack Hobbs plundered at the end of April. But it was his run over the same course and distance a month later when he narrowly failed to beat another Jack Hobbs victim that saw him enter my tracker list. He was held up that day and had to be switched a couple of times from his inside position on the rail before flying home on the outside. He was beaten a short head but had to cover more ground than the winner who had the run of the race. Since then the third from the Jack Hobbs race demolished a handicap on Derby day at Epsom off a slightly higher mark and the only worrying thing is the presence of a Cumani talking horse at the head of tomorrow's market. I say worrying because I tend to always fear that trainer's horses in handicaps but he has ensured a better price than expected about the selection. I managed to get a slice of 100/30 when the market opened earlier this afternoon and have topped up just now at 11/4.

Sir Eric Parker Memorial Handicap:
Putting Green £60w @ 313/100 (3rd)

(-580.75)


09/06/2015

Haydock - 10th June

    This next week or so is quite a big one for me as I have a lot of tracker horses entered up the next few days and then Ascot starts next Tuesday.

    The first of these tracker animals is Express Himself who runs in the 3.40 at Haydock tomorrow. He's been eye catchingly finishing his races off well the last couple of times he's run - I was on when he was third at Newmarket a month ago - and tomorrow he has ideal conditions, with a couple of notable front runners lined up in opposition likely to ensure a good gallop. Unfortunately I feel the booking of Ryan Moore has meant a contraction in his price and so I'm only getting involved for minimum stakes.

Apollobet Weekly Gold Cashback Handicap:
Express Himself £30w @ 7/2 (rule 4 ded') (won)

(-520.75)


07/06/2015

Ante-Post

    I really enjoyed yesterday's action. It was an historic day of course with American Pharoah winning the Triple Crown and it was fantastic to watch history being made. Hopefully connections will give him a nice break and have him back for the Breeders Cup. Over here I was impressed with both Golden Horn and Jack Hobbs in our Derby and both will be tough to beat given the right conditions. I like the latter for the Arc as I felt the track and ground were against him yesterday. I was gobsmacked when Dolniya was turned over, but that race and the market encapsulates how my season is going. I'm beating the book on a regular basis but not getting paid. Quite frustrating. That said I always try and take positives wherever I can and was pleased with the run of Oasis Fantasy in the 12f handicap later on at Epsom. I put this horse in my tracker after his taking run over 14f at Goodwood a few weeks ago but didn't back him yesterday because of the drop down in trip. He had a poor draw and met lots of trouble in running before coming home like a train. He's in the Northumberland Plate and although that is a tough ask from a stamina viewpoint he'll be a nice price.

    Royal Ascot starts in just over a week and although I rarely get too involved ante-post wise I have recently placed a couple of wagers. The sprinting division looks extremely hot this season and I have backed Muthmir in the King's Stand and Limato in the Commonwealth Cup. The former ran well enough in the Duke of York last month but was very much ridden to get a run into him, front running tactics not the sort of approach connections would take in a race he was tuned up for. He won next time out in France despite the ground not being as fast as he likes and if underfoot conditions are to his liking at Ascot I think he'll go close. A stiff 5f is ideal for him and although the opposition will be strong I think there are sound enough reasons to be against the horses ahead of him in the market. Sole Power has been a top class sprinter but I kind of feel at eight years of age his best years might be behind him. That might be a bit tenuous but it's a gut feeling I have. Brazen Beau is a crack Aussie sprinter with a fair amount of hype behind him but his form is mainly over 6f and I wonder if he'll be fast enough for this. It's true an easy 6f on a flat Aussie track might not be much more of a stamina test than Ascot's uphill 5f but I think that the trip is enough of a doubt to be against him. That climb to the line will really suit Muthmir.

    Limato looks a really exciting prospect over 6f and he was unbeaten until his defeat at Haydock a week or so ago but his trainer said he needs the ground like a road and it plainly wasn't firm enough at my local track. His odds for the newly introduced Commonwealth Cup increased from (I think) 7/4 to 7/2 after that reverse and that looks an over-reaction to me. He'll take the world of beating on the likely ground.

EDIT 8th June:

    I've added a couple of selections to my ante-post list for next week. I've had 7.6 matched on the machine about Night of Thunder for the Queen Anne on Tuesday and also backed The Grey Gatsby for the Prince of Wales's the following day. I'll write more about these wagers and the races they appear in on the day.

Queen Anne Stakes:
Night of Thunder £20w @ 66/10

Prince of Wales's Stakes:
The Grey Gatsby £15w @ 8/1

King's Stand Stakes:
Muthmir £15w @ 8/1

Commonwealth Cup:
Limato £15w @ 37/10






 

06/06/2015

Epsom - 6th June




                                                                     In the Groove - 1991

    Derby day on the Downs but I have no bet in the big race this year. I was pondering backing Jack Hobbs who I think will appreciate the trip more than Golden Horn but the ground looks against him and there must be a chance he won't run. The favourite does look solid but has stamina concerns and although 2/1 is quite short there isn't a whole lot of substance amongst the opposition and I just think it's a race to sit out this year.

    Dolniya is odds-on for the Coronation Cup and I'm sitting pretty in the race having taken 4/1 last month when Cirrus Des Aigles headed the market. I'm not one for taking Meydan form literally but the Aga Khan's filly looks like she's improved from three to four having run well in the Arc last October and I'm hopeful she'll have too much again for Flintshire. I topped up my initial bet just before final decs were made and have hedged again on her only realistic danger.


Coronation Cup:
Dolniya £50w @ 26/10 (2nd)

Coronation Cup/Commonwealth Cup:
Flintshire(lost)Limato £10w dbl @ 2/1 and 7/2

(-610)






    

05/06/2015

Epsom - 5th June

    I have a rare day off today but as good as the Oaks looks this year I don't fancy anything strongly enough for a normal sized bet. Legatissimo is a very worthy favourite and probably should be slightly shorter than 3/1 but that price isn't the sort of one I want to take in a Classic. I think the Stoute horse is too short and there are others further down the market list with solid looking form. My bet today, a small one, is a bit of a hedge. I took 4/1 about Dolniya for the Coronation Cup three or so weeks ago because Cirrus Des Aigles headed the betting at that time and I just didn't see him running. That has happened and the race has cut up big time. I topped up on the French filly before final decs were made and am in a good position with her. The only danger is Flintshire and so I've put him in a double with Legatissimo.

    I've been mulling The Derby over the last few days and am still undecided as to a bet. I'm fine with that, it's not a compulsory exercise to wager in a race no matter how big. But that said with Giovanni Canaletto being stupidly short and stamina doubts about the favourite I feel that there is an angle in the race somewhere. My gut feeling is if the ground is ok Jack Hobbs would be the way to go - it will depend on the price tomorrow.

Oaks/Coronation Cup:
Legatissimo(2nd)Flintshire £15w dbl @ 3/1 and 7/4

(-550)