First off in a really ropey looking Eclipse Stakes at Sandown I want to be against the front three in the market for the following reasons: Twice Over ran poorly in the race last year, Dar Rei Mi is better over further and Zacinto is a miler. That really just leaves Mawatheeq who looked really progressive last year and Viscount Nelson who ran ok in the French Derby. I'm not totally convinced by either of them to be honest but in a really poor renewal they're worth small wagers at relatively decent odds.
In the Old Newton Cup at Haydock Hanoverian Baron stands out like a sore thumb after his win at York last month. These are the sort of horses I want to be with more and more these days - animals who have been winning handicaps fairly easily and not going up that much. It's odds of a shade over 9/2 aren't great on the face of it but compare them to 2/1 about Twice Over in the Eclipse and it's clear where my money should be going. A lot of these big handicaps aren't as competitive as they first appear.
Mawatheeq £25w @ 62/10 (refused to enter stalls - money back)
Viscount Nelson £25w @ 76/10 (lost)
Hanoverian Baron £40w @ 47/10 (lost)
(-121.6)
No comments:
Post a Comment