As the flat draws to a close I have maybe a couple of chances to turn a small loss overall into a profit and those chances will be Casamento in the Racing Post Trophy this afternoon at Doncaster and Behkabad in the Breeders Cup Turf in a fortnight.
Casamento is the clear form pick in today's Group 1 having been beaten narrowly by the classy Pathfork in the National Stakes on only his second start and then winning the Group 2 that St Nicholas Abbey and Sea the Stars both win on his latest start. He is the favourite today but I expected 9/4 or maybe 5/2 to be his price not the 4.1 available on the exchanges. His main challenger, Dunboyne Express, has not raced since July and has had setbacks but he does have a chance on form tie-ins with my selection. I'm not sure the animals he has beat are ones to be trusted in terms of collateral form however and I think you have to go with the proven Group form. None of the others appeal.
Casamento £40w @ 41/10 (won)
(-88.77)
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