10/07/2014

Newmarket - 10th July

    The July meeting at Newmarket is a "festival" that doesn't really get my juices flowing but I usually find a bet or two. Sir Michael Stoute has the front two in the market for tomorrow's Princess of Wales's Stakes but I think the price differential (evens and 7/2 in a place) between Arab Spring and Hillstar is excessive and I've backed the latter. It's a fascinating clash between the two in many ways with Arab Spring graduating from handicap company and Hillstar being a fixture in group races and their last two efforts on the same day at Royal Ascot were radically different in terms of the way the respective races panned out. Arab Spring was always well placed in his handicap and kicked clear in the straight, the race very much going his way. Whereas as Hillstar was anchored towards the rear in the Hardwicke and by the time he got a run Telescope had been booted into an unassaible lead. He stayed on well to finish second though and overall his form on a decent surface such as we have on the July course tomorrow is the best in the race for all of Arab Spring's promise (don't forget he made the frame in last year's King George) and I think he's overpriced.

Princess of Wales's Stakes:
Hillstar £50w @ 36/10 (2nd)

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