06/02/2011

Cheltenham Thoughts 6/2


Very disappointed that Leopardstown has been called off today as I was gagging to see Mikael D'Haguenet put his poor recent run behind him. Hopefully his trainer will still manage to get an outing into him before March.
Yesterday's Grade 1 Novice Chase was a fascinating contest that featured two contenders towards the front of the Arkle market. Captain Chris is the horse to take from the race, if not for the actual race he'll probably run in at the Festival. He made a mistake at the third last, wasn't as economical as Medermit over the final fence yet only just got beat. I think he's improved and needs a trip. Could be interesting for next year's Hennessy. Said improvement means that the Ghizao formline is slightly bogus imo. Coral were going 4s Ghizao and 9/2 Finian's Rainbow immediately after the race, a price on the latter that had to be taken, His form via Hell's Bay has worked out really well and he fits the profile of a typical Arkle winner having been a high class hurdler. Paul Nicholls has a tendancy to have his 2m novice chasers overrated by the oddsmakers and whilst I respect Ghizao's chances far more than Tatanen's a couple of years back or Tataniano (who didn't even run) last year I want to take him on.

Arkle
Mikael D'Haguenet £5w  @ 17/1
Finian's Rainbow £30w @ 9/2

Champion Hurdle
Dunguib £20w @ 21/1
Hurricane Fly £40w @ 61/10

Champion Chase
Master Minded £75w @ 4/1

RSA Chase
Mikael D'Haguenet £45w @ 11/1

Coral Cup
For Non Stop £7w @ 14/1

World Hurdle
Zaynar £5w @ 10/1
Mikael D'Haguenet £5w @ 27/1
Grand Crus £20w @ 3/1

Gold Cup
Pandorama £10w @ 31/1
Punchestowns £10w @ 24/1
Denman £50w @ 82/10

£15 lost on NR's






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