Having backed Ortensia already for tomorrow's Nunthorpe I wasn't too happy to see the rain arrive today and it fair bucketed it down for a time. She has won on good to soft but her best form is on good ground or faster. On her two runs over here she actually ran better in the July Cup at Newmarket on heavy than she did at Ascot on good to soft. It's well known that some animals just don't like Ascot and her poor run there can't have been just down to the softness of the ground. I'll assess the situation when I get there as I'm at the track tomorrow and if she's 5/1 or better and the ground is no softer than good to soft I will top my £20 bet up.
My other bet will be Dubai Prince in the Group 3 Strensall Stakes over a mile and a furlong. I backed this horse last time out at Goodwood and he looked like a player in the straight but didn't stay the 12f trip that day. He's a horse with a lot of ability who has had a chequered career and I think this sort of small field Group race just below the top level is his sort of race. The favourite is a 3yo so is readily opposed and the rest look much of a muchness. I think the selection is the best horse in the race who would be shorter than he is if he hadn't disappointed last time out and as I've pointed out that run can be ignored quite easily. Like Ortensia I have backed him already and will top up at the best price I can get on course. That's on the understanding that I can get at least 9/2 though.
Nunthorpe Stakes:
Ortensia £60w @ 51/10 (won)
Strensall Stakes:
Dubai Prince £60w @ 5/1 (won)
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