Initially I was devastated with Flemenstar's defeat in the Lexus yesterday but watching the race multiple times since has me thinking more positive about the horse. No, he probably won't be aimed at the Gold Cup this season but I think he was too heavily restrained yesterday and a return to his normal tactics of bowling along in front will help him see off inferior rivals in future before they have a chance of staying on past him. His superior jumping and travelling ability have to be utilised better. I was also very impressed with the way Sir Des Champs stayed on after clouting a few fences and think he is a big danger in the Gold Cup as he surely will jump better at Cheltenham where he was faultless in the Jewson last March.
My ante-post book for the Festival is looking a bit ropey now and today Clondaw Kaempfer runs in the Challow at Newbury. This is a horse who has won twice on deep ground this season and has looked impressive in doing so despite the impression his running action gives that decent ground will suit him more than the mud - he doesn't pick his legs up that high and almost floats over the ground. His sire gets plenty of good ground horses as well. Unfortunately the going at Newbury is heavy and this contest today is a step up in class as well so I wasn't thinking he'd be a bet under these conditions but a lot of support has come in for the Jonjo O'Neill trained Taquin du Seull who has good form on deep ground over this sort of trip. This support has resulted in Clondaw drifting from an initial sort of 6/4,7/4 to the 23/10 I've taken on Betfair. I've also put a small IR lay in at a short price as if my selection does get beat it will probably be by being slightly outstayed in these stamina sapping conditions.
Challow Novice Hurdle:
Clondaw Kaempfer £60w @ 23/10 and an IR lay request of £20 @ 5/4 placed. (lost)
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