23/02/2013

Fairyhouse 23rd Feb

I'm typing this between seeing off trains at work on a pretty slow computer so forgive any mistakes. I don't fancy anything at Kepton but it looks an interesting card nevertheless. The only bet of the day is in the Boobyjo Chase at Fairyhouse. This is a pretty good Grand National trial with all seven entrants in the Aintree marathon and I think Quito de la Roque is overpriced at odds in excess of 3/1 on Betfair. He has good pieces of form this season and was impressive last time out over two and a half miles at Thurles. The trip today of 25f will suit him even more and whilst I respect market leader Prince de Beauchene the price differential, he's around 13/8, between himself and the selection is excessive. Simply put Quito de la Roque is a chaser virging on Grade 1 class and is too big given the company he finds himself in today.

Victor Chander and Bet 365 went non runner no bet for the Festival last night and I added old favourite For Non Stop to my portfolio at 20/1 for the Ryanair. He runs well fresh and is better than his last two runs where the ground was way too slow for him. His Old Roan win reads well with runner up Wishfull Thinking winning a couple of times since and he's overpriced in a race that could really cut up

Bobbyjo Chase:
Quito de la Roque £50w @ 34/10 (NR - Void Bet)

Ryanair:
For Non Stop £10ew @ 20/1 (NRNB)

Double:
For Non Stop (Ryan) and Kid Cassidy (Grand Annual) £5ew @ 20/1 and 14/1

(+1129.53)

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