28/02/2013

Cheltenham - NRNB at last.

                                                           FOR NON STOP


With the NRNB concession now in place with three firms I have added two or three bets to my portfolio. As I said on Saturday I expect For Non Stop in the Ryanair to return to the sort of form that saw him run away with the Old Roan at Aintree in the Autumn after a couple of below par efforts on ground that was way to soft for him since. He's a horse that runs well fresh and he is way overpriced at 20/1 for a race that could well cut up. I'm not totally convinced Cheltenham is his course because he has fallen there a couple of times (including once at the Festival in the Coral Cup) and he ran below par in the Jewson last year. But having said that he was quite busy last season and might have been feeling the effects. He has excellent place claims at least and as well as a single I have put him in an each way double with Kid Cassidy in the Grand Annual. This enigmatic character's mark has been protected for a race his trainer loves to win named as it is after his father.

The big news today was Paddy Power unveiling of their offer on the opening day. They will return stakes on all losers if Hurricane Fly wins the Champion Hurdle. Now to be honest I don't really fear the horse all that much but it would be silly not to take advantage and I have greened up my Grandouet position on Betfair and backed him with PP at 6/1. There remains a £10 single I had on the horse at 12/1 earlier in the season, also at Paddy Power.

Finally I've taken 12/1 about First Lieutenant for the Gold Cup. I'm mad keen on him for the Ryanair but the trainer does prefer the blue ribband for the horse and it makes sense to hedge my bets. I'd worry about one or two seeing the trip out better but if he settles better than he did in last year's RSA (recent runs suggests he will) and doesn't go off too fast like he did in the Hennessy he has more chance of getting the trip. It goes without saying that he loves Cheltenham and should have better ground on the last day of the meeting than he's been faced with thus far this season.


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Supreme:
My Tent or Yours £50w @ 6/1
Jezki £20w @ 56/10

Arkle:
Arvika Ligeonniere £30w @ 11/1

Champion Hurdle:
Grandouet £10w @ 12/1
"Greened up" for £47.19 (Backed @ 9.38, laid @ 8.43)
Grandouet £50w @ 6/1 (NRNB) Stake returned if Hurricane Fly wins race

Cross Country:
Bostons Angel £10w @ 12/1
Shalimar Fromentro £5w @ 45/1

RSA:
Boston Bob £35w @ 97/10
Our Father £10w @ 14/1

Bumper:
Pure Science £15w @ 16/1

Jewson:
Oscar's Well £35w @ 145/10 and £20w @ 10/1 (NRFB)
Arvika Ligeonniere £25w @ 10/1 (NRFB)

Ryanair:
First Lieutenant £25w @ 10/1 (NRFB)
Finian's Rainbow £25w @ 105/10
For Non Stop £10ew @ 20/1 (NRNB)

World Hurdle:
Reve De Sivola £15ew @ 10/1

Albert Bartlett:
Coneygree £130w @ 92/10

Gold Cup:
Sir Des Champs £15w @ 8/1
First Lieutenant £15ew @ 12/1 (NRNB)

Non Runners - Total of £195 lost (Mainly Flemenstar, Fingal Bay, Spirit Son and Clondaw Kaempfer)

Win Doubles:
My Tent or Yours (Sup) and Simonsig (Arkle) £10 @ 20/1 and evs

My Tent or Yours (Sup) and Zarkandar (CH)  £15 @ 2/1 and 6/1

Overturn (ARK) and Grandouet (CH) £10 @ 4/1 and 7/1

Grandouet (CH) and Sir Des Champs (GC) £10 @ 12/1 and 6/1

Grandouet (CH) and Cue Card (RY) £10 @ 7/1 and 6/1

Boston Bob (RSA) and What a Name (1000 Gns) £10 @ 10/1 and 14/1

Pont Alexandre (NEP) and Sizing Europe (Ryan) £10 @ 11/4 and 7/1

Pont Alexandre (NEP) and First Lieutenant (Ryan) £10 @ 11/4 and 5/1

Pont Alexandre (NEP) and Far West (Triumph) £10 @ 11/4 and 6/1

Pure Science (Bumper) and Coneygree (AB) £10 @ 16/1 and 8/1

Captain Conan (Jewson) and Silviniaco Conti (Gold Cup) £10 @ 6/1 and 9/1

Oscar's Well (Jewson) and Coneygree (AB) £10 @ 10/1 and 8/1

Coneygree (AB) and What a Name (1000 Gns) £10 @ 12/1 and 4/1

Each Way Doubles:
Grandouet (CH) and Divers (BGP) £10ew @ 7/1 and 33/1

Bostons Angel (XC) and Module (Jewson) £10ew @ 10/1 and 10/1

For Non Stop (Ryan) and Kid Cassidy (GA) £5ew @ 20/1 and 14/1

£1 Lucky 15:
Simonsig (Arkle) Evs
Boston Bob (RSA) 8/1
Cue Card (Ryanair) 6/1
Coneygree (AB) 8/1


















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