21/08/2015

York - 22nd Aug

    Just the one bet tomorrow with Oasis Fantasy not making the Ebor line-up and it's on Top Notch Tonto in the opener. Unusually for a sort of public horse he seems overpriced for this Group 3 event. His last run was only his second over tomorrow's trip and he ran really well in splitting Tulius and Prince Gibraltar in the York Stakes over course and distance. I reckon he rates a bit better than the bare form of that race as he was detached by two or three lengths at one point. Tomorrow's field seems mainly made up of handicappers stepping up in class or milers stepping up in trip (both on some counts) and the selection is pretty much the only one proven on both class and distance grounds. It's a competitive race and one or two of his rivals might relish this different test but at 7/1 I'm prepared to take a chance that Top Notch Tonto (who is a model of consistency) can hold them off.

Strensall Stakes:
Top Notch Tonto £45w @ 7/1 (lost)

Ebor Handicap:
Oasis Fantasy NR £30

(-614.63)

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