23/09/2011

Newmarket - 23rd Sept

One of the many irritating things about betting is when you tentatively work a bet out only to discover once you have bought the Racing Post in the morning that Pricewise has tipped it up. It affects the price and it puts me off blogging about the horse/bet. I have found an angle that Tom didn't cover in his piece though, and that is that this animal is very much a horse for courses. His best form this year was when he ran Twice Over to less that two lengths at York the month before that horse won the Juddmonte - and his best run from 2010 was when winning a handicap at York off a mark of 100 at the Ebor meeting. He won the Earl of Sefton over this Rowley Mile course in the Spring and that suggests that he'll be at home powering up the Dip holding them off. Ultimately I think 5/1 plus is a decent price given how uninspiring the opposition is. I have bigger fish to fry over the coming weeks but it'd be nice to get a bit nearer the black in terms of profit and loss for the season.

Ransom Note £40w @ 54/10 (won)


(-85.3)

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