28/12/2014

Leopardstown - 29th Dec

    The main event on tomorrow's card at Leopardstown is Hurricane Fly vs Jezki fr the umpteenth time in the last couple of years. It's a race to look forward to right enough, but the Grade 1 Topaz Novice Chase that follows it around ninety minutes later is the race of the day in my opinion and arguably the best novice chase of the season so far. It's a contest choc full of promising jumpers and my only angle on the race is the thought that Apache Stronghold was initially priced with his trainer's comments that the step up to three miles might not suit over factored into one or two of the earlier bookmakers markets. I backed the horse in the Drinmore over two and a half miles and looking back he did well to finish as close as he did to the impressive winner given that he didn't jumped that well throughout the race. I think he's well capable of bettering that effort tomorrow, especially as he jumped left at a number of obstacles at Fairyhouse so Leopardstown should suit him better. Yes he may not stay but at his price I'm prepared to pay to find out. The opposition looks strong of course and Mala Beach is feared most. He's a horse who jumps and travels really well and three miles will bring out the best in him. The same comments apply almost equally to Don Poli and it should be a cracking race.

Topaz Novice Chase:
Apache Stronghold £40w @ 10/1 (2nd)

(+461.25)

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