03/05/2014

Newmarket - 4th May

   Despite the disappointing way the field split in the 2000 Guineas today didn't spoil the race as I thought it might at the time and there were no hard luck stories. Kingman didn't lose much in defeat the way I look at it. He dwealt in the stalls and his jockey may have gone a tad too soon but was beaten by the better horse on the day. The funny thing about Night of Thunder's run in the Greenham is that if that had been a handicap he'd have gone right into my notebook. It looked a good edition and Australia will be incredibly hard to beat at Epsom.

   The fillies version tomorrow looks wide open and looking over the field it's hard to summon much enthusiasm for a possible wager. I don't think Rizeena will stay the clip they'll go and the two Ballydoyle fillies don't seem that well fancied by the lads which isn't a great sign. Miss France would be shorter if she'd not had a trial but as we saw today shocks can happen in big field races this time of year and I'm leaving the race alone.

   The Group 3 Dahlia Stakes earlier on in the card features a short priced filly in Integral who is the most likely winner but quotes of even money are excessive. Yes she looked a filly of some promise last year but it's possible she might need this first time out and I think her run in the Sun Chariot here in the Autumn has been a tad overrated. She was second to Sky Lantern that day but they went a fearsome pace and and the front two had the run of the race. I'm taking her on with Esoterique who has had a couple of runs this season and should be primed for this. She's a filly who was a tad disappointing after her second in the Pouliches but apart from a midfield run behind Treve in the Diane where she pulled quite hard all her runs have been over a mile and she's bred to stay further. In short this 9f trip tomorrow will suit and 5/1 overstates her chance.

Dahlia Stakes:
Esoterique £40w @ 5/1 (won)

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