09/05/2015

Ascot - 9th May

    I've not had a particularly good start to the season but we've only just begun and there'll be plenty of decent opportunities the next few months. The Victoria Cup is a tough looking race to try and get back on track, or in the green, but American Hope has his conditions today and I've been waiting on a price and decent place terms and one bookie has at last gone 16/1 and 5 places. American Hope went into my tracker last season when he was caught on the line by Mange All at Ascot in a hot looking mile handicap at the height of last summer. Moohaarib was a couple of lengths behind in third that day off 93 that day and has notably franked the form on two occasions since. As for the selection, since that day at Ascot he has run three times - he was badly drawn in a handicap at Goodwood in August (didn't seem to like the track either) and has been second this season in a small field conditions event at Kempton and was down the field in the Abernant last time out. Both those latter two races are easily ignored as they aren't handicaps and as I say, this is the first time he has his optimum conditions since that day at Ascot, and he's only 3lbs higher in the ratings. It's a very hard looking race obviously but I'm happy enough with the price I have. He was quite keen in the Abernant and the pace they go in this cavalry charge should help him settle better.

Victoria Cup:
American Hope £30ew @ 16/1 (lost)

(-350)

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