14/05/2015

Newmarket - 15th May

    A rather disappointing day with Justice Belle getting turned over - I was pretty sure she'd win an ordinary looking race. Maybe the soft ground did for her, or maybe like at Windsor she ran into another useful Godolphin inmate. No matter, she's still worth following, especially on better ground than she encountered today.

    I have another tracker horse running tomorrow. He's a 4yo gelding called Express Himself and he runs in the 4.40 at Newmarket. First time out last month at Pontefract he pulled very hard in a rather sedately run contest before staying on well towards the end of the race. He finished third but the two animals who beat him both raced with the pace and kind of got first run on him. He's off the same mark at headquarters and also has a claimer aboard so looks fairly well in. The favourite, a horse called Wistar, actually finished a place behind him at Ponte' but heads him in the market presumably because Cumani trains him and his charges have the reputation of needing their first runs of the season. He's also more unexposed than the selection and I do fear him. 6/1 is more my price than the odds I got on Justice Belle today, although she was very well backed and went off at 13/8.

A word on the racing at York today - Golden Horn was most impressive in winning the Dante and looks very hard to oppose if he goes to Epsom, but I have a feeling Elm Park will also go on to win a nice race or two. This was his first outing of the season and he chased a strong pace before tiring in the last furlong. I think 8/1 isn't a bad price for the Derby and I may take a chance that Golden Horn isn't supplemented for it. Something to ponder on this weekend.

Fiscale Handicap:
Express Himself £20ew and £20w @ 6/1 (3rd)

(-460)

No comments:

Post a Comment