31/10/2015

Wetherby - 31st Oct

    Just the one bet today with my fancy for the Fillies and Mares race at Keeneland seemingly pulled out after not travelling over that well. Luckily the Breeders Cup declare for their races much earlier than we do over here so it wasn't an ante-post bet.

    The conditions of the Charlie Hall at Wetherby favour the three horses carrying 11st - Dynaste, Cue Card and Ballynagour. By conditions I mainly mean the penalty system in play for the race but also trip and ground. Sam Winner and Many Clouds concede lumps of weight to the horses mentioned above and both are staying types who are best at distances in excess of three miles. Holywell I've backed for the Gold Cup but he's always best watched first time out, especially on ground softer than he likes. That leaves Menorah of those in the race with penalties to carry and whilst he had the same welter burden last season this field looks a lot stronger (Silviniaco Conti needed the race twelve months ago.)

    Dynaste and Cue Card are closely matched on a number of meetings between the pair and I just favour the former partly because his last big run (last year's King George) is a lot fresher in the memory and whilst he's coming back from injury his run in France over hurdles should have put him spot on. Cue Card just didn't finish his races at Aintree and Punchestown last spring and although 7/1 when betting opened was fair at 4/1 now he makes no appeal. Ballynagour looks the main danger to the selection and runs well fresh so should be thereabouts. I would consider covering on him but feel he's better over fences on good ground. 

Charlie Hall Chase:
Dynaste £15w @ 5/1 and £25w @ 7/2 mbs (2nd)

    

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