Elsewhere on that card and at Newmarket on Saturday I've had a couple of each way tickles. Avenir Certain was my original fancy for the l'Opera but she isn't running now. It remains a race to get stuck into with the front two in the marker very opposable. Covert Love is slightly overrated to my mind and looks a pure 12f filly to boot and the Bolger filly looks the type who has had enough racing this year. We Are won the race on likely similar ground last season and is overpriced at 9/1 for this renewal. She hasn't had a good season to be fair but the only time she has had her optimum conditions (10f on decent ground) she ran into Treve. No such monsters lurk in this race and it's hard to see her finishing out of the frame.
In the Sun Chariot at Newmarket Esoterique, Miss France, Integral and Bawina are all broadly fillies of similar ability and so the prices we have for them for Saturday's contest - 6/4, 4/1, 11/2 and 8/1 respectively are a bit too spaced apart and so I'm going with Bawina. She's been very consistent this year and her best run probably is her second to Amazing Maria on the July Course in the Falmouth when she wasn't beaten far and covered more ground than anything else in the race having tracker over from the stands side to the middle of the course in order to get a clear run. Esoterique has had a great season but has had things go her way and I doubt she's much better than she was in 2014. She's too short and like We Are at Lonchamp on Sunday I find it difficult to see Bawina not placing in this event.
Sun Chariot Stakes:
Bawina £15ew @ 8/1
Prix de l'Opera:
Avenir Certain NR £10
We Are £15ew @ 9/1
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe:
Jack Hobbs £15w @ 10/1
New Bay £30w @ 575/100
Avenir Certain NR £10
We Are £15ew @ 9/1
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe:
Jack Hobbs £15w @ 10/1
New Bay £30w @ 575/100
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