Homecoming Queen looks a tough nut to crack in today's Irish 1000 Guineas but conditions are radically different in this race to what she faced at Newmarket and whilst she's the likeliest winner I like La Collina at 9/2. This filly has won at the track and will surely come on for her run at headquarters three weeks ago where she was outpaced and lost her position when the winner went on but kept on well to finish fifth. She's a filly who should stay 10f and I just think first time out she didn't have that speed that one or two others had when the pace hotted up. Interestingly at the time her jockey started rowing away as she lost her position Maybe's pilot was still motionless - an indication that whereas La Collina will be better over further Maybe has the look of a miler. She's a poor value favourite for the Oaks next Friday and I'm looking forward to taking her on in that race. Anyway, the Curragh's stiff mile round a turn will suit La Collina more than Newmarket's long straight and she's a sporting each way bet for all that Homecoming Queen holds her on form. I'll be surprised if she's out of the places.
La Collina £25ew @ 9/2 (lost)
(-708)
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